2026 Poll Accuracy | cyvyc

Poll accuracy · 2026 midterms

Margins are Dem% − Rep% in points. Signed error = poll margin − actual margin (D+ = poll overstated Democrats, R+ = overstated Republicans). Preliminary until certification: AZ state canvass ~Dec 7; national House vote ~mid-Dec. Poll and market figures from polls.csv / controls.csv with linked sources. © cyvyc, LLC