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Texas Governor 2026: polls vs. results

Final poll average R+1.9. Markets (Nov 3, 3:15 PM MST): Kalshi D 37%, Polymarket D 38%. Awaiting results.

DemocratGina Hinojosa
RepublicanGreg Abbott
RatingLean R
Final poll averageR+1.9
Poll basisAverage of aggregators (Wikipedia)
Kalshi (D win chance)37%
Polymarket (D win chance)38%
ResultAwaiting results

Last updated . Poll source: Average of aggregators (Wikipedia).

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