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Texas Senate 2026: polls vs. results

Final poll average D+3.3. Markets (Nov 3, 3:15 PM MST): Kalshi D 75%, Polymarket D 77%. Awaiting results.

DemocratJames Talarico
RepublicanKen Paxton
Ratingn/a
Final poll averageD+3.3
Poll basisAverage of aggregators (Wikipedia)
Kalshi (D win chance)75%
Polymarket (D win chance)77%
ResultAwaiting results

Last updated . Poll source: Average of aggregators (Wikipedia).

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